HPC Training Course on Conflict and Political Affairs Analysis; Integrating Practical, Academic, and AI-Assisted Approaches

HPC Training Course on Conflict and Political Affairs Analysis; Integrating Practical, Academic, and AI-Assisted Approaches

This training course is designed for current and aspiring international professionals who are expected to conduct conflict and political affairs analysis in complex and rapidly changing environments. The programme combines methodological training in Part I with case-based analysis in Part II, enabling participants to learn analytical frameworks and apply them to major contemporary conflicts and politically sensitive situations. Particular attention is given to the practical analytical skills required in the United Nations and other organizations operating in conflict-affected settings.

  1. Objectives
  2. The course aims to equip participants with the practical knowledge and analytical tools needed to understand political affairs and contemporary armed conflicts. It is particularly suitable for those seeking positions in international organizations such as the United Nations, especially as political affairs officers, and for practitioners working in conflict-affected or politically sensitive environments.
  3.  
  1. Training Overview
  • Duration: Part I: Two days (4.5 hours per day; 9 hours in total)
  • Part II: Two days (4.5 hours per day; 9 hours in total)
  • Format: Interactive lectures and discussions
  • Mode: In-person or online
  •  
  1. Facilitator: Professor Hideaki Shinoda, Director, Hiroshima Peacebuilders Center (HPC), and Professor, Tokyo University of Foreign Studies
  2. Hideaki Shinoda is Professor at the Graduate School of Global Studies, Tokyo University of Foreign Studies, and Director of the Hiroshima Peacebuilders Center (HPC). He received his Ph.D. in International Relations from the London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). His professional experience includes refugee relief activities in Iran, Djibouti and Thailand, and service with the United Nations Transitional Authority in Cambodia (UNTAC) as an International Polling Station Officer. He previously worked at Hiroshima University and has been a visiting scholar at the Lauterpacht Research Centre for International Law, University of Cambridge, and the Center for the Study of Human Rights, Columbia University, as well as a Visiting Professional at the International Criminal Court (ICC). From JFY2007 to JFY2023, he directed HPC’s implementation of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Japan’s Programme for Human Resource Development for Peacebuilding. His research focuses on international peacebuilding, conflict resolution, international security and geopolitics. His recent publications include Partnership Peace Operations (Routledge, 2024), Confronting Theories of Geopolitics (Springer, 2026), and the edited volume The Impacts of the Russo-Ukrainian War (Springer, 2025).
  3.  
  1. Dates
  2. Part I: 17 October (Sat.) and 18 October (Sun.), 2026 (4.5 hours per day)
  3. Part II: 7 November (Sat.) and 8 November (Sun.), 2026 (4.5 hours per day)
  4.  
  1. Venue
  2. Venue: Fuchu area, Tokyo (in-person sessions)
  3.  
  1. Participation Fees
  2. Full programme: JPY 40,000 (in person) or JPY 30,000 (online)
  3. Either Part I or Part II only: JPY 20,000 (in person) or JPY 15,000 (online)
  4. (Video recordings of all sessions will be available to all participants.)
  5.  
  1. Application
  2. Please email your CV (in any format) to:
  3. hpcapplication@peacebuilders.jp
  4.  
  5.  Schedule

Time

Session

Contents

Part I (Methodology)

17 Oct. (Sat.)

10:30-12:00

Session 1: Overall Introduction: Various Kinds of Analysis

AI and other emerging technologies in professional practice

Presentation by Professor Shinoda on the structure of the course

Presentation on the impact of AI on OSINT

(United Nations, United Nations 

Conflict Analysis Practice Note and Conducting a Conflict and Development Analysis)

12:00-13:30

Lunch

 

13:30-15:00

Session 2: Chronological Analysis

Collection and analysis of quantitative and qualitative data on conflict and political events

(William Zartman’s Ripeness Theory, etc.)

15:30-17:00

Session 3: Stakeholder Analysis

Stakeholder analysis and mapping

(Academic reference to David Singer’s level of analysis, etc.)

18 Oct. (Sun.)

10:30-12:00

Session 4: Causal Analysis

Analysis of conflict causes with political factors and problem-tree models (Academic reference to Kenneth Waltz, Man, the State and War, etc.)

12:00-13:30

Lunch

 

13:30-15:00

Session 5: Scenario-making

Practical methods for scenario building (Academic and practical references to conflict resolution textbooks, theory of change, etc.)

15:30-17:00

Session 6: Overall Review

Observations and reflections

 

Part II (Case Studies)

7 Nov. (Sat.)

10:30-12:00

Session 1: Analytical Perspectives on Contemporary International Relations

Developing perspectives for tracing patterns and changes in international affairs

(Academic reference to Fukuyama, Huntington, Ikenberry, etc., in addition to Shinoda’s Confronting Theories of Geopolitics)

12:00-13:30

Lunch

 

13:30-15:00

Session 2: The Russo-Ukrainian War

Application of analytical methods to the Russo-Ukrainian War: chronology, key stakeholders, causal factors, competing narratives, and possible future scenarios

(Academic references to contemporary discussions of the Russo-Ukrainian War and European security in policy journals and research papers)

15:30-17:00

Session 3: The Middle East

Application of analytical methods to conflicts in the Middle East: chronology, key stakeholders, causal factors, competing narratives, and possible future scenarios

(Academic references to contemporary discussions of conflicts and regional security in the Middle East in policy journals and research papers)

8 Nov. (Sun.)

10:30-12:00

Session 4: East Africa

Analysis of conflicts and political dynamics in East Africa, including state fragility, regional organizations, cross-border security challenges, and external actors. (Academic references to contemporary discussions of East Africa in policy journals and research papers)

12:00-13:30

Lunch

 

13:30-15:00

Session 5: West Africa

Analysis of conflicts and political dynamics in West Africa, including state fragility, regional organizations, cross-border security challenges, and external actors. (Academic references to contemporary discussions of West Africa in policy journals and research papers)

15:30-17:00

Session 6: Overall Review

Comparative review of the cases covered in Part II. Participants will identify common analytical patterns, regional differences, and lessons for professional conflict and political affairs analysis.

 

  1. Reading Materials

Reading materials, including academic articles and UN documents, will be distributed electronically to participants.

  1. AI Platform

The facilitator may demonstrate practical uses of ChatGPT and other AI tools. Participants are welcome to bring devices with access to the AI platforms they use.